Saturday, January 8, 2022

A Complex System is Difficult to Predict

 

A Complex System is Difficult to Predict banner

Wildland fire operations have inherent risks that cannot always be eliminated, even in the best of circumstances. Incident management and response is a competition between human beings and the forces of nature. Leaders struggle to manage the effects caused by wildfire and other natural and human-caused events.

The environment can rapidly and unexpectedly change from normal to emergency conditions through complexity: a condition on the edge between order and disorder, between too fast and too slow, between too much and too little.

Within complexity, the smallest decision and action can have the most profound effect. Often these are life-or-death decisions.

Learning is vital to thriving in such a high-risk environment.

[Click here to download Learning in the Wildland Fire Service.]

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