Likelihood of Learning from Incidents

The “Bull’s Eye” chart developed by the Wildland Fire Lessons Learned Center plots the likelihood of learning from past events. The likelihood of learning diminishes as we move out from the center. 

We seek opportunities to move Firefighter “X” closer to the Bull’s Eye through impactful connection. Simulations and staff rides often have the power to personalize events and lessons to create a connection with the lessons available. These efforts help to move “Firefighter X” closer to the bull’s eye. 

We must create personal connections to increase the likelihood of “Firefighter X” learning from an incident or accident. We must capitalize on those with an existing connection to pass on lessons.

[Click here to download Learning in the Wildland Fire Service.]